In our area of the East Coast of the U.S., as well as in other spots around the globe, summer’s heat took its toll, leaving parched lawns, shriveled fruit, and pathetic-looking new plantings from the spring. The blazing sun has taken its toll with weeks of 90+ temperatures and zero precipitation. Almost every summer has a period like this in our area, and each year, people inevitably throw around the “D” word—Drought. As I studied my dying new bushes and paltry tomato crop, I was able to reflect back five years and remember a true drought. It was a stretch of dry weather that lasted for almost a year, rather than weeks, slaughtering all but the hardiest of plants. The Random House Dictionary definition for “drought” is interesting—
1. a period of dry weather, esp. a long one that is injurious to crops.
2. an extended shortage.
That differs from a “dry spell,” which gets its own definition:
1. a prolonged period of dry weather.
2. a period of little or no productivity or activity, low income, etc.
As two days of substantial rain draw to a close, I’m left with the impression that despite my fear and trepidation, we’re in the midst of a dry spell rather than a drought. What’s the distinction? A drought leaves you with real physical harm. A dry spell is a nuisance that makes you paranoid you’re heading for a drought. No one can truly sufficiently prepare for a drought. There are not enough rain barrels on the planet to cope with a shortage that lasts for major portions of a year or years. But there are enough rain barrels to get you through a dry spell.
This metaphor is appropriate when it comes to shortages on our projects. Those may include shortages of cash, of human resources, of political capital, of client goodwill, or of almost any project commodity. We suffer from regular encounters with dry spells, and, fearing droughts, react in pained dismay. Our challenge is distinguishing between the two both in terminology and in action.
As “the risk guy,” I’m a firm believer that we can do a better job of labeling these problems in order to steel ourselves appropriately for drought or dry spell, and be willing to make distinctions between the two. Specifically, it’s a function of warning those around us of current conditions and getting their interpretation of the signs in the environment. In order to brace ourselves appropriately, we need to establish the right environment and communicate the implications of changes to that environment.
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